Saddleback

000
FXUS61 KGYX 111041
AFDGYX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Gray ME
641 AM EDT Fri Sep 11 2026

.WHAT HAS CHANGED...
Little change to the going forecast today.

&&

.KEY MESSAGES...
1. Dry weather continues through Friday with lighter winds. 
Cold temperatures tonight and early Saturday morning may allow 
for patchy frost development in northern zones. 

2. Rain showers are expected Saturday night into Sunday morning,
especially across southern zones. Mainly dry weather is then 
expected once again to start the work week.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
KEY MESSAGE 1 DESCRIPTION...

Dry weather is expected today with lighter winds. Still, the
pressure gradient with support 20 to perhaps 25 MPH gusts at
times. It will be cooler than yesterday, with highs mainly in
the 70s with low humidity. 

High pressure begins to move in from the west tonight which will
mean decoupling in the low levels, especially western and
northern zones. This will lead to chilly overnight lows, with
readings dipping into the mid to upper 30s in the northern
zones, with 40s most elsewhere.

High pressure pushes off to our east on Saturday with return
flow allowing for southerly SFC winds and widespread 70s for
highs. High clouds may increase late in the day.

KEY MESSAGE 2 DESCRIPTION...

Showers are expected Saturday night and into Sunday, as a cold front 
moves eastward across the area. Ahead of the front, the convective 
environment is meek, with conditional instability through much of 
the thermal profile. Ensembles have been hinting at showers that 
produce more meaningful rainfall Saturday night given that PWATs are 
in the 90-95th percentile there. Once these showers pass however, 
PWATs will drop significantly as the cold front pushes eastward. So 
any showers that develop along the passing cold front on Sunday 
should be much drier and produce lesser rainfall amounts.  As it 
stands now, it is likely that most people see a little rain Saturday 
night and into Sunday. Southern NH should see more rainfall than the 
rest of NH and western Maine.

After the cold front passes, high pressure moves in and will allow 
for fair and crisp fall weather on Monday and Tuesday. Highs look to 
be in the lower 70s. 

With high pressure overhead, Monday night also looks to be clear and 
feature a period of calmer winds. This could allow for radiational 
cooling and cold low temperatures, with areas north of the mountains 
potentially breaking 40F Tuesday morning.

&&

.AVIATION /12Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
Any lingering valley fog clears from LEB by mid morning. VFR 
conditions continue today with northwesterly wind gusts 15-20 
kts at most terminals. This should be strong enough to keep the 
seabreeze offshore. Valley fog is likely tonight. On Saturday, 
VFR conditions continue with relatively light southerly SFC 
winds.

Outlook: 

Saturday Night-Sunday: MVFR possible, especially at NH terminals
in showers, mostly through Sunday morning.

Sunday night-Monday: Generally VFR.

Tuesday: VFR expected.

&&

.MARINE...
High pressure nears today and moves across the waters Saturday.
This keeps conditions below SCA criteria. Wind direction will 
remain steady offshore today and southerly on Saturday.

Conditions should remain below SCA thresholds for the most part
through Tuesday.

&&

.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...None.
NH...None.
MARINE...None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...Ekster/Palmer
AVIATION...Clair